Rain, wind, and temperatures: What Rwanda can expect in January
The Rwanda Meteorology Agency has released its weather forecast for January 2025, predicting varied rainfall, temperature, and wind patterns across the country.
The forecast highlights the likelihood of average conditions in most regions, with a few areas expected to experience deviations from the Long-Term Mean (LTM).
The detailed forecast provides essential insights for farmers, planners, and citizens preparing for the month ahead.
Rainfall Predictions
Rainfall during January is expected to range between 0 and 180 mm.
“The highest amounts, ranging between 150 and 180 mm, are anticipated in many parts of Rusizi and Nyamasheke Districts, as well as western parts of Nyamaguru and Nyamagabe Districts,” the agency stated.
According to the agency, the regions, including parts of southern Karongi District near Nyungwe National Park, could see slightly above-average rainfall.
Moderate rainfall ranging between 120 and 150 mm is expected in areas such as Rutsiro, Rubavu, Nyabihu, and Huye Districts, while districts like Rulindo, Kamonyi, and Gicumbi will receive between 90 and 120 mm.
Eastern parts of the country, including areas of Nyagatare, Gatsibo, and Rwamagana, are projected to experience significantly less rainfall, ranging between 0 and 30 mm.
Temperature Outlook
January’s maximum temperatures are set to range between 18°C and 30°C.
The hottest areas include Bugesera District, several parts of Kigali City, and Nyagatare, with temperatures reaching up to 30°C. Cooler temperatures of 18°C to 20°C are expected in Nyabihu, Musanze, and western Rubavu Districts.
Minimum temperatures will vary between 8°C and 16°C.
“The lowest minimum temperatures, ranging from 8°C to 10°C, are expected in Nyabihu, Musanze, and Rubavu Districts, as well as parts of northern Burera District,” the report noted.
Meanwhile, areas like Nyagatare, Gatsibo, and Kirehe are predicted to experience relatively higher nighttime temperatures of 14°C to 16°C.
Wind Speed Forecast
Moderate to strong winds ranging between 4 and 10 m/s are anticipated nationwide. Strong winds of 8 to 10 m/s are expected in Nyamaguru, Nyamagabe, and parts of Rusizi Districts, while most of the country will experience moderate winds of 6 to 8 m/s.
The report highlights specific zones likely to see higher wind speeds, including parts of Kigali City, Rutsiro, and Nyamasheke Districts. Regions like western Kamonyi, Gicumbi, and Bugesera will experience lighter winds, averaging 4 to 6 m/s.
Notably, while moderate winds can aid pollination and reduce heat stress, stronger gusts pose risks to infrastructure, especially in vulnerable rural areas.
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